WHAT’S THE FRIDAY FOOTBALL SMELL TEST?

 It’s a contrarian handicapping philosophy. I look for the games where the public is convinced they are right about a point spread and I go the other way.  There’s more to it than that including unique access to information about where certain sharp action is but for the most part, it’s the realization over many years that the house wins more than it loses and the house advantage comes from more than just the built-in vig/fee advantage.The lines used are from covers.com as they appeared Friday during the show.  Lines change.  Typically, if a line is worse for me than it was on Friday, the contrarian handicapper in me regards that as a good thing.  It usually means late sharp money is with me.

LAST YEAR

Overall:  110-86-4

THIS YEAR

Last Week: 5-5

Overall: 41-20-1

SMELL TEST PICKS FOR WEEKEND OF 10-11-19  

Friday, October 11:

Miami -2

Oregon -21

New Mexico +3.5

Saturday, October 12:

Oklahoma -10.5

Purdue +3.5

Iowa State -10

Tennessee +7

Baylor -11

Clemson -27

Michigan State +10.5

North Texas +3

Charlotte +5

Hawaii +13.5

Sunday, October 13:

Jaguars -1

Browns +1.5

Texans +4

Monday, October 14:

Lions +4

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